South African Rand: USD/ZAR rally selling strategy stays in focus – Societe Generale

Societe Generale strategists argue that South African Rand dynamics hinge on upcoming CPI, retail sales and the Federal Reserve meeting. They note that repeatedly selling USD/ZAR rallies near the 200‑day moving average has worked well recently and see scope for a move back below 16.00 if global risk sentiment remains constructive after the FOMC decision.

200‑day moving average remains key level

"Selling USD/ZAR rallies near the 200dma has proved a successful strategy in recent months."

"A return below 16.00 cannot be ruled out if risk sentiment hold up post the FOMC tomorrow."

"For ZAR, the focus is on May CPI, retail sales and the Fed tomorrow."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Philippine Peso: USD/PHP bearish bias but risk of snapback – OCBC

OCBC’s Christopher Wong describes USD/PHP as bearish but oversold after a sharp gap lower on softer yields and Oil. With inflation still above target and growth slowing, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) faces a difficult decision, where a firmer policy response could support PHP.
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Japanese Yen: Sideways trade within tight band – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang reports that USD/JPY was little changed around 160.30, with recent price action offering no fresh directional clues.
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